Is the trans suicide rate mis-represented?
The personal accounts collected from detransitioners suggest that the widely circulated suicide statistics are indeed being used in misleading ways.
1. The numbers stay high after transition
Several detransitioners point to the largest long-term study available—the Swedish cohort of fully transitioned adults—showing that “mortality from suicide was strikingly high among sex-re-assigned persons, also after adjustment for prior psychiatric morbidity.” CoolEmployment5080 notes that this risk actually rises sharply after ten years of follow-up, while most pro-transition studies look only at short-term results source [citation:f2eb122a-7c5d-4698-afa6-d56fd6f318ab]. Hot_Ad_2492 adds that “the suicide rate upwards of 42 % in the community … STAYS about 40 % even after social and medical transition,” undercutting the claim that transition reliably prevents suicide source [citation:dcb2aa88-59e7-47ca-af0e-779f83f708da].
2. The statistic is used to pressure children
Detransitioners describe how the figure is brandished in schools and clinics. cavemanben warns, “People, children, have been encouraged to transition out of fear of suicide,” while teachers and counsellors deploy lines like “do you want a dead ____ or alive ____?” source [citation:017af58b-c6f0-4133-93c3-ba8974e5f934]. L82Desist calls this “propaganda to feed the agenda of the trans activists,” arguing that any rise in overall youth suicides will statistically include some trans-identified kids, but correlation is not causation source [citation:7b5f3344-878d-4e6a-b21f-fea728de0759].
3. Methodological flaws inflate the picture
Detransitioners flag several weaknesses: short follow-up periods, lack of pre-transition baselines, and the lumping together of attempts and completions across wide age ranges. The1PunMaster stresses that “what matters more is comparing that risk to pre-transition,” yet most articles omit that comparison source [citation:401b39ad-6078-4155-98a8-25bb9cc2abeb]. SedatedApe61 concludes that the ubiquitous “40 %” figure is “most likely higher than it really is” and should be treated with caution source [citation:1539d973-63b1-460a-bc20-2f3d9f2dd5fc].
Conclusion
From the detransitioners’ shared experience, the oft-repeated suicide statistic is not only unchanged by medical transition but is also being wielded as a scare tactic. A more honest conversation would separate underlying mental-health challenges from gender identity itself and seek non-medical supports that address the whole person rather than rush to irreversible interventions.